Germany in a technical recession? – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts see Germany in a technical recession, as they expect another ¼% GDP drop in Q3.

Key Quotes

“Our forecast for 2019 is now 0.3%. Given no indication for a rebound we lowered our 2020 forecast to 0.7%. We acknowledge these revisions do not properly account for the recent accumulation of risks.”

“Given the increasingly fragile state of the global economy, the realization of one or more risks could easily push the economy into a completely different scenario, where growth revisions of a few tenths of a percentage point will not be sufficient.”