UK unemployment rate likely ticked up higher - TDS

Research Team at TDS, expects that the UK unemployment rate likely ticked up a notch to 5.2% in the three months ending January (consensus 5.1%).

Key Quotes

“The steady declines seen in recent months look to be finished, and an unemployment rate of 5.2% still indicates a relatively tight labour market that should be supportive of regular pay growth, which we expect to tick up to 2.0% y/y (consensus 2.1%) as cost pressures again begin to gradually start building. The Chancellor also presents his budget today, which we expect to walk a relatively non-controversial line ahead of the EU referendum in June.”

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EUR/USD resilient around 1.1100 ahead of FOMC

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