5 Nov 2015
Market positioning for next stage of AUDUSD weakness - BNP
FXStreet (Delhi) – Research Team at BNP Paribas, suggest that the AUDUSD’s relative resilience amid rising US front-end yields thus represents a selling opportunity in our view.
Key Quotes
“Global risk sentiment has been on the rebound and deflation fears are subsiding. However think it would be wrong to expect any sustained strength in commodity currencies. We think investors are overlooking the likely divergence in core inflation and policy rates between the US and commodity exporters in 2016.”
“On Wednesday we recommended expressing that view by buying a 3M 0.70 AUDUSD put with a 0.64 KO. A speech by RBA Governor Stevens failed to provide the AUD with direction overnight, but he continues to signal that the option of further policy easing remains open.”
Key Quotes
“Global risk sentiment has been on the rebound and deflation fears are subsiding. However think it would be wrong to expect any sustained strength in commodity currencies. We think investors are overlooking the likely divergence in core inflation and policy rates between the US and commodity exporters in 2016.”
“On Wednesday we recommended expressing that view by buying a 3M 0.70 AUDUSD put with a 0.64 KO. A speech by RBA Governor Stevens failed to provide the AUD with direction overnight, but he continues to signal that the option of further policy easing remains open.”