FOMC meeting preview: What to expect of USD

FXStreet (Córdoba) - The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision at 18:00 GMT. While Chair Yellen and other FOMC officials have reiterated they expect the lift-off to happen before the year-end, analysts seem to agree October won’t be the case.

There is no press conference or updated projections scheduled so statement will be closely scrutinized for signs on whether the Fed remains on track to hike rates in December. Some analysts are expecting a dovish tilt in the statement following a series of disappointing economic releases.

However, no major changes to September’s statement are expected and in the absence of surprises the US dollar should exhibit modest and short-lived responses.

EUR/USD levels to watch


As for the EUR/USD, the upside remains quite limited amid divergent outlooks, specially after the ECB hinted at more quantitative easing last week.

The key levels to watch on the upside are 1.1114 (200-day SMA), 1.1166 (100-day SMA) and 1.1210 (Oct 7 low). On the flip side, supports could be found at 1.1000/1.0996 (psychological level/Oct 23 low) followed by 1.0960 (Aug 11 low) and 1.0925 (Aug 10 low).

Watch: Fed Interest Rate Decision Live Coverage with Valeria Bednarik, Mauricio Carrillo and Dale Pinkert

FOMC statement is key today - UOB

Analysts at UOB Group noted that we have the Oct FOMC policy decision upon us.today.
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EUR/SEK seen in a 9.20–9.60 range over six months after Riksbank decision - UBS

Following the Swedish Riksbank decision to extend its government bond purchase program (QE) until end of June 2016 and with the ECB program also on, the UBS analyst team continues to see EUR/SEK in a 9.20–9.60 range over six months.
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