EUR/USD could tumble close to the 0.90 level before year-end – MUFG

EUR/USD has dipped under 0.97. Economists at MUFG Bank expect the pair to inch closer to the 0.90 level before the Federal Reserve pauses its hike cycle.

The risks are firmly to the downside

“Over the near-term, the risks are firmly to the downside and we expect a period of further US dollar strength as financial market conditions worsen as asset prices correct further to the downside. This will help push inflation expectations further lower.” 

“The key for any broad turn in US dollar strength must be a pause in the tightening cycle. We suspect the Fed will pause after hiking in December which should allow some EUR/USD correction from levels closer to 0.9000.”